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OBAMAS_LEFT_BEHIND


                                                 November 9, 2016             
                                                                              
                                      (When in doubt,                         
                                      go with butt humor.)                    
                                                                              
So, I heard the word that there was a protest of some sort                    
down in Ogawa plaza, and I happened to be out biking around                   
then, so I decided to swing by it -- I had mixed feelings                     
about the idea of "protesting" an election result (unless                     
you felt like the process was crooked, but I haven't heard                    
of any good evidence of that as of yet).                                      
                                                                              
It was more of a rally, with speakers and audience.  As I                     
showed up someone was beginning a talk titled something like                  
"how did we get here?"... he started out talking about how he                 
really did have "hope for change" back when Obama was                         
elected, but was quickly very disappointed.  He said, okay                    
maybe Obama did a few little things like health care                          
(seriously, the dude put it that way), but really Obama                       
didn't do much, because you see, it turns out that Obama is                   
bought by the same interests who--                                            
                                                                              
At this point the audience started shouting things at him,                    
like "racism!".  It sounded like a Black Lives Matter                         
contingent.  He tried to put them off with a "Yes, I'm                        
going to get to that", explaining that yes, he understood                     
there was a lot of racism and "this is not a post racial                      
society" and so on... they weren't having any of this, and                    
I gave up on that point and left.                                             
                                                                              
This seems symptomatic of the Left of late--                                  
                                                                              
What's actually on our minds at this point is how Trump                       
managed to win the presidential election-- he squeaked in                     
despite losing the national popular vote, with an edge in                     
many key states of only around 1%.  This makes it pretty                      
easy to imagine multiple things that could have been                          
different that would've defeated him.                                         
                                              HE_WHO_SHALL_NOT_BE_NAMED
                                                                              
Myself, I'm a "the Dems shoulda gone with                                     
Bernie" kind of guy, and I suspect the speaker                                
would agree with me on that-- but in all honesty      On the other hand, no one
the thing Bernie had going for him isn't that         *objected* to Bernie's  
he's way left, what he had is the perception          background, so yes, the 
that he's an outsider.  Hillary was supposed to       standard advice that you
be the "safe" pick, but in a throw-the-bums-out       need to go right to win 
year the middle-of-the-road is going nowhere.         is wrong.               
                                                                              
  Anyway, that's what I think, but unlike                                     
  all the other folks anxious to tell you                                     
  what they think, I have to admit that the                                   
  evidence that my opinion is correct is            It would be pretty        
  fairly slim: there were advance polls back        cool if *someone* out     
  during the primary season that showed             there would start with    
  Bernie doing better against Trump, but            that problem: since it    
  we've all just seen pre-election polls            seems that "everything    
  flop really badly, so how can I argue that        we know is wrong" the     
  those other polls were so indicative?             first question is "is     
                                                    it possible to know       
  Of course, there's also the sheer scale           anything?"                
  and enthusiasm visible at Sanders                                           
  rallies...                                        POLLS_AND_REALITY
                                                                              
                                                                              
But instead of starting with the case for                                     
Bernie, this fellow felt the need to wind                                     
the clock back and complain about Obama--                                     
                                                                              
But if the idea is "Hillary lost because                                      
Obama", that's pretty weak: Obama's approval                                  
ratings have been really good lately, and            Presuming we can trust   
there's no evidence that I know of that the          the approval ratings.    
electorate is going "damn, Obama should-a been                                
more left!"                                                                   
                                                                              
             BECAUSE_OBAMA                   
                                                 There are things about       
The speaker had fallen into the trap of          Obama that dissapoint me     
presuming that the stuff he cares about is       also: at the top of          
the stuff that politicians need to address       the list, he's a             
if they want to win, but he's got no good        constitutional scholar       
reason to assume that he's representative        that's decided that          
of the public at large, and there's good         assasination by executive    
reason to think otherwise.                       order is okay.               
                                                                               
                                                 And yeah, I wish he'd shut   
  One of the things people had                   down Guantanomo rather        
  reservations about about Bernie                than just scale it back...   
  was that he seemed to have                     At least they *claim* he     
  trouble connecting with black                  shut down the equivalent      
  people-- I know that at least                  sites whose names we don't   
  some black people thought                      know... but it's not as      
  Bernie was too critical of                     though we can check.          
  Obama, and strangely enough                                                  
  many like to think of Obama as                 But to my knowledge, there    
  their guy.                                     are no signs that the         
                                                 electorate at large cares     
  What would possess someone to                  about this stuff.  Most of   
  think that the election of                     them are sold on the idea     
  Trump was the right time to                    that an aggressive foreign   
  complain about Obama-- to an                   policy will Keep Us Safe.     
  audience on the streets of                                                    
  Oakland, no less?                              But I also have to say that   
                                                 compared to the other         
                                                 Presidents we've had of       
  It was wrong, irrelevant and                   late, Obama has done a        
  politically tone-deaf: that's                  decent job.  The Obamacare   
  the trifecta...                                that the speaker tried to      
                                                 dismiss is far from being a   
  It makes me wonder if this                     minor achievement, even if     
  guy has ever tried his ideas                   the Left would've preferred  
  out in public before... does                   a simpler single-payer       
  he ever poke his nose out of                   scheme.                        
  his bubble?                                                                   
                                                 The economic stimulus after     
                                                 the 2008 crash helped smooth   
     The reason the Left can't                   out the pain;                   
     get any traction in                                                              
     American politics is                        And the oft complained about         
     uh... a conspiracy of the                   bank bailout, whatever               
     mainstream media!                           problems it had, did not             
                                                 ultimately cost the taxpayers        
                                                 anything: it was a loan, long        
                                                 since paid back.                     
                                                                                     
                                              Complain Obama didn't do            
                                              enough, if you like, but that       
                                              pretty much can only apply to       
                                              the first two years, after      
                                              which the obstructionist          
                                              Republican congress took over,  
                                              and getting anything at all      
                                              done was a near impossiblity.     
                                                                                
                                              Oh, and that rabid opposition     
                                              does indeed look like it was      
                                              motivated by racism, doesn't      
                                              it?  I have the feeling the     
                                              folks in the audience were      
                                              saying something about that.     
                                                                               
                                                                               
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