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ROBOT_CARS


                                                   May     26, 2012
                                                   January 28, 2013
Car-driving, for better or worse, most
likely worse, is one of the few areas where
citizens are trusted with dangerous
equipment and expected to use it responsibly.

We all like to complain about how bad
they are at it-- certainly I like to--
but you can easily argue it the other         The overall result is pretty
way, that it's amazing the result isn't       bad though: something like
much worse than it is.  Many people           40,000 deaths per year in
rely on cars for their main mode of           the US, as a result of
transit, and many of them manage to           "accidents".
survive that way for decades without
serious incident.                                 And that's just the
                                                  beginning of the ills
                                                  that can be laid at the
   As a purely symbolic issue,                    door of our car addiction.
   I applaud the fact that we
   expect citizens to behave                      The obesity epidemic, the
   like responsible adults at                     fragmentation of communities
   the wheel of a car, and also                   into "suburbs", and yeah,
   applaud that most of them                      the air pollution, though I
   really do.                                     suspect that's the *least*
                                                  of the problems.
   This is one reason I look on
   the inevitable deployment of                          AUTOMOTIVE_GUILT
   robot cars with a note of
   sadness...

       I think it's interesting that
       at present, the conservatives
       absolutely *love* this idea:
       "Ha, we're gonna get robot
       cars before we get high speed
       rail!  Take that you train
       loving socialist bastards!"

       The next step after the *option* of
       robot cars is the *requirement* to
       use them-- once the liability             In addition to the safety
       issues are settled, and it becomes        advantages robot cars really
       clear that robot drivers really are       will have advantages in
       safer, then going off of autopilot        fuel efficiency and pollution
       becomes reckless behavior.                reduction:

       At present, cars work for many                Human drivers are *really
       people as a symbol of freedom and             stupid* in this respect:
       individuality: that's doomed.                 they constantly alternate
                                                     between standing on the
           We've yet to see the usual                brake and the gas in the
           suspects complain that robot              desperate hope that
           cars are a threat to their                they'll slip the next
           freedom to drive macho, but               light and get somewhere a
           maybe they just can't think               whole minute sooner.
           two moves ahead.
                                                     We can expect robot cars
                                                     to be very sane, cautious,
                                                     drivers, adopting optimal
                                                     driving strategies (rather
    The real trouble with robot                      that psychologically
    cars though, is that I suspect                   appealing ones).
    that they'll primarily act
    as sprawl enablers.  Someone                     Further, once everyone
    willing to spend two hours                       has become spam in a
    a day car commuting will now                     can-- I mean, has
    think it's reasonable to take                    adopted the latest
    that up to three or four hours.                  technology-- robot cars
                                                     will be able to draft
    Even if you double the gas                       each other: you can
    mileage, if people are suddenly                  expect to see them
    willing to drive double the miles,               linking up into "car
    that's no advantage.                             trains", each traveling
                                                     through the hole in the
        And much of the real damage                  air punched by the one
        that cars do may get much                    ahead.  Since the robots
        worse:                                       all know when the car
                                                     ahead is going to brake,
        Energy efficiency and                        there's no problem with
        environmental pollution                      tailgaiting.
        isn't everything, there
        are multiple other                               Oh, and the (spurious)
        problems associated with a                       safety argument for
        car-centered lifestyle                           SUVs goes away.  No
        from social isolation to                         point in driving a
        gasoline guts.                                   tank when no one is
                                                         going to crash.
        "Oh boy, door-to-door
        service! I'll never have
        to walk *anywhere*! I'll
        never have to sit near
        anyone with a different
        ethnic background!
        Heaven!"


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