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POLYMYTH


                                                    January   9, 2019
  It strikes me that the advocates of the           February  7, 2019
  "polymath" strategy are doing a pretty weak       February 18, 2019
  job of arguing for their position...

  And I suspect it's because that they themselves have
  pretensions of being genius-level masters of everything.

  They want to impress you with the sheer breadth of
  their knowledge, but much of that material seems
  shallow and debateable, and the whole argument would
  be stronger if they just focused on the bits of solid
  evidence that they've got, rather than doing surveys
  of big names, and digging for evidence that they're
  not tightly focused on a specialty.

            Part of the trouble with people like us-- I mean,
            like *them*-- is that if you fancy yourself a    
            generalist that can understand any field, you're 
            prone toward doing a lot of scattered skimming
            and cursory glances.


This blog post (from "makcorps.com" without any other
author attribution) has been making the rounds:

  "People Who Have 'Too Many Interests' Are More
  Likely To Be Successful According To Research"

    [link]
                                            
This "makcorps" piece is a particularly bad 
offender, name-dropping trendy but arguably      
vapid intellectuals like Malcolm Gladwell        
and E.O. Wilson -- what happened to Nicolas     There's a style of book that
Taleb?  -- and worse, it uses three examples    seems popular because it makes
of Modern Polymaths:                            people feel intelligent without
                                                actually having to work hard.
                                                 
  Elon Musk, Steve Jobs, Mark Zuckerberg        You need to be careful dealing
                                                with self-styled generalists.
                                                Shallow works that adopt a
So they've picked some highly visible           pose of Great Insight are all
examples of famous rich guys as their           too appealing...
examples of polymaths...
                                                Someone with pretensions of
We're in Wired Magazine biz-porn territory.     keeping an eye on *everything*
This kind of thing initially gave me a          is necessarily going to lack
very bad impression of this material.           in-depth knowledge...

                                                They might, for example, skim
                                                the first thirteen pages of
                                                "Principia Mathematica" and
                                                act like they've got something
                                                useful to say about it.


The title makes an explicit claim
which can not be established just     The makcorps piece itself says
by a survey of the very               nothing about any studies, it
successful.                           just links to Root-Bernstein
                                      on the subject.

A moments thought would suggest the point that
if a strategy requires you to be the next Mark       Another moments thought
Zuckerberg in order to work, it's not likely         might lead you to wonder
to be a very useful strategy.                        what the multiple fields
                                                     are that Zuckerberg has
                                                     mastered.  ("Programming"
                                                     and "Being a jerk"?)
I'm willing to buy that if you look at the
top-of-the-line Successful Creative Geniuses out
there, you may very well find that they're not
narrow specialists, but that doesn't mean that           "Survivorship Bias"
the path to Success is to avoid specialization--              
the numbers of people who make it as Creative            [link]
Geniuses are extremely small, and if you want to
evaluate the two different strategies you've got
to look at the total numbers of people trying
each, and not just focus on winners.


         And that's why I like the 1988 study that
         Root-Bernstein eventually gets to in his
         Chapter on the subject-- the fact that it's
         buried in the middle of his discussion,
         with lots of anecdotal material headlined
         is very peculiar... 
         
         The idea may be that gosh-wow stories about
         Einstein are going to be more impressive to      
         most than a wider study with a control           There were earlier 
         group.  That might be a good bet on average,     versions of these 
         but it pushes me in the other direction.         pieces that were 
                                                          much more hostile  
             My first impression was this                 that I had to throw 
             was someone doing a "studies                 away after calming 
             have shown..." dodge, where the              down and re-reading 
             "studies" were junk when they                the material.     
             existed at all.                                                
                                                          The name "polymyth"
                                                          is a hold-over.
                                                          
                                                          (Maybe it should 
                                                          be "polymiss"?)



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