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December 31, 2023
I have my doubts there's a lot
of point in close reading of SCATTER_THE_NOISE
"Noise" (2021) by Kahneman,
Sibony and Sunstein SCATTER_THE_PAGES
Never the less, the book is working with
some interesting source material which is
probably worth learning more about.
Picking a few broad areas to follow
(not an exhaustive list):
They allude to a wide literature
discussing bias. Is there any
definitive study of this literature?
In particular, I'm interested in
evaluations of debiasing training.
SCATTER_DEBIAS
The primary source material that they
begin with is studies of courtroom
judges:
From the notes for Chapter 1, page 16:
William Austin and Thomas A. Williams III,
"A Survery of Judges' Responses to Simulated Legal Cases:
Research Note on Sentencing Disparity,"
_Journal of Criminal Law & Criminology_ 68 (1977): 306
"Sentence Decisionmaking: The Logic of
Sentence Decisions and the Extent and Sources
of Sentence Disparity,"
_Journal of Criminal Law and Criminology_ 72, no. 2 (1981)
They remark:
See Chapter 6 for a full discussion
And also:
See also Senate Report. 44
But I don't know what they mean.
There's no "Senate Report" footnoted for p. 44.
Chapter 20, concerning "Forensic Evidence" has a long
discussion of the acutal reliablity of interpreting
crime scene fingerprints.
Some of the notes point to popular write-ups:
Michael Specter, "Do Fingerprints Lie?"
_The New Yorker_ May 27, 2002. SPECTER_OF_DENIALISM
Several notes point to the forensic literature, with
studies looking at the way expert judgement can be
corrupted by "contextual information".
The book continues on to discuss DNA evidence
interpretation (which somewhat naively I would've
thought was resistant to these problems,
probably just because it seems more sciencey.)
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