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THE_THEORY_OF_CONSPIRACY

                                              July 10, 2004           
                                         Rev: Aug  21, 2006 
                                               
No one doubts that                                        
conspiracies exist.                                            
                             However, it does                  
People form alliances,       seem likely that                    
gangs, cartels, and so       such alliances are    Prisoner's  
on whenever they think       often unstable.       Dilemma, and
that there's something                             so on.      
to be gained.  

And they do so
secretly, when there's
something to be gained
from keeping it secret.

So why the poor                                
reputation of       One answer:   
"conspiracy         the conspiracy                               
theorists"?         likes it that    Having some                       
                    way.             exceptionally                      
Many conspiracy                      silly                     
theorists have                       conspiracy                
a tendency to                        theorists out 
leap ahead of                        there could be      Is that any 
the evidence.                        useful.             less absurd   
                                                         than the 
That some conspiracy                                     common        
or other might exist                                     practice of   
is likely, that a                                        using "agent 
conspiracy theorist                                      provacateurs"?
has put the finger                                                     
on the one that's                                          PROVOCATEUR
actually there is                                                      
often less plausible.                                              
                                                                 
Part of the                                     The great fear of paranoia
syndrome is the                                 is a tremendous force.    
assumption of  
perfection on              Real                                    
the part of the            conspiracies                          
opposition.                are often                             
                           quite clumsy,                           
If you believe             unglamorous          
they're capable            affairs.                              
of covering up                                                   
anything, then             They don't           
there are no               need to be              
checks left on             undetectable          Those who want to       
what you can               in order to be        remain in denial        
believe.                   sucessful.            should be assisted      
                                                 in doing so.            
                           All they have                                 
                           to do is              If those who are not    
                           preserve              convinced are           
                           deniability.          sufficiently marginal --
                                                 or are kept marginal, or
                                                 are convinced that they 
                                                 are marginal -- then the      
                                                 game is won.                
                                                                             
                                                    There's often a time     
                                                    window of relevence:     
                                                    a conspiracy need    
                                                    not remain secret    
                                                    forever.                
                                                                            
                                                         If you can hang 
My attitude of late:                                     on long enough, 
                                                         then it's just 
For many purposes,                                       "ancient history"
you don't need proof.                                    and it's "time to 
                                                         move on".     
If you're trying to gauge                                              
the system's resistance                                      Interestingly
to corruption, finding                                       enough, the 
proof that a weakness                                        horizon of 
has been exploited is                                        history seems 
less critical than                                           to be creeping 
identifying the weakness.                                    closer and 
                                                             closer... 
   A plausible theory                                        
   may enough.                                               The statute  
                                                             of limitations 
   If it didn't really happen                                is already down   
   that way this time, then it                               to a few years.
   might happen that way next                   
   time... unless we take                       
   some preventative action.                    
                                                
             And there are                                                 
             other forms                                                   
             of prevention                      
             besides                                                       
             criminal     
             conviction.                        
                    
     
                                
  
                        


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